Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 3.326621 3.675282 4.053247 4.494792 4.998181 5.556206 6.224370
2025-09-07 2.887046 3.366417 3.922740 4.621423 5.482957 6.520375 7.879131
2025-09-14 2.544260 3.080373 3.733202 4.597158 5.726376 7.174808 9.210932
2025-09-21 2.288299 2.852625 3.566235 4.550993 5.900707 7.725594 10.450949
2025-09-28 2.030796 2.589044 3.315869 4.352354 5.827804 7.909863 11.179422
2025-10-05 1.903547 2.480197 3.252673 4.390631 6.073255 8.553487 12.657145
2025-10-12 1.810336 2.406299 3.225913 4.470522 6.378294 9.310957 14.418609
2025-10-19 1.728546 2.339567 3.200291 4.544464 6.675375 10.084231 16.323546
2025-10-26 1.653691 2.275527 3.170970 4.606143 6.954286 10.855850 18.349327
2025-11-02 1.578904 2.205169 3.125119 4.634959 7.178375 11.557196 20.362563
2025-11-09 1.472361 2.080035 2.986507 4.501974 7.114112 11.740200 21.394787
2025-11-16 1.392628 1.990110 2.895287 4.437214 7.158065 12.119585 22.885540
2025-11-23 1.326398 1.918403 2.830007 4.414024 7.280155 12.674374 24.890803
2025-11-30 1.296548 1.901389 2.850466 4.538231 7.683681 13.831028 28.495650
2025-12-07 1.239473 1.837470 2.789773 4.514572 7.805800 14.437142 30.947747
2025-12-14 1.183120 1.771301 2.720700 4.469449 7.880227 14.951706 33.290453
2025-12-21 1.104046 1.663939 2.575966 4.275228 7.639527 14.753710 33.736892
2025-12-28 1.071798 1.631970 2.557418 4.312658 7.870262 15.631561 37.309659
2026-01-04 1.048534 1.613525 2.560681 4.390774 8.192826 16.767616 41.934405
2026-01-11 1.025670 1.594367 2.561187 4.463067 8.510415 17.942255 47.036516
2026-01-18 1.002257 1.572913 2.556037 4.523365 8.808027 19.116499 52.524232
2026-01-25 0.975475 1.544179 2.535835 4.551534 9.036234 20.151672 57.903253
2026-02-01 0.927986 1.476970 2.441513 4.421525 8.886844 20.166822 59.660664